The fate of India, will to some degree, determine the fate of the West. While the sub-continent is undergoing a de-regulation fuelled economic boom, its future capitalist alignment is far from assured.
India is being wooed, lured and subverted, slowly but surely into the Russian/Chinese axis. The two future super-powers are aiming to build a pan-Asian power bloc, incorporating Iran, the old Soviet Islamic republics, India and even possibly Indonesia.
The framework for this bloc is the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, of which Iran and India are currently observers. Should this come together as planned, the grouping will dominate Asia and overshadow Europe. Coupled with a red Latin America and Africa, the bulk of which is now Russian and or Chinese aligned, the balance of power may well swing Russia and China’s way.
Once Upon a Time in the West puts the case well. He begins by quoting senior KGB defector Anatoliy Golitsyn. Well known for his thesis that Russia and China will one day unite to confront the West, Golitsyn predicted the rise of Solidarity in Poland, the fall of the Berlin Wall and the stage managed “collapse of communism“.
Before long, the communist strategists might be persuaded that the balance had swung irreversibly in their favor. In that event they might well decide on a Sino-Soviet “reconciliation.” The scissors strategy would give way to the strategy of “one clenched fist.” At that point the shift in the political and military balance would be plain for all to see. Convergence [between East and West] would not be between two equal parties, but would be on terms dictated by the communist bloc.
Anatoliy Golitsyn, KGB defector, New Lies for Old (1984), pages 345-346
In the long term, they [Russia, China, and India] feel that the whole structure of international relations has to shift in their direction.
Vinod C. Khanna, Institute of Chinese Studies, Delhi; February 15, 2007
In the Western Hemisphere neo-communism is consolidating its power. Further afield, in Asia the Moscow-Beijing Axis is seeking to woo other states, some suspecting, others not, into its orbit.
The Moscow-Beijing/Trans-Asian/Eurasian Axis is embodied in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), a new communist bloc whose senior partners are Russia and China. India holds observer status in the SCO, communists hold the balance of power in the country’s parliament, and Maoist insurgents hold one third of India’s territory.
India’s “Naxalite” rebels network through the Coordination Committee of Maoist Parties and Organisations of South Asia with Nepal’s communist rebels, who were admitted last November into the government after the monarchy, weary of 10 years of civil war, capitulated to their demands.
In short, international communism is ready to pluck India like a ripe fruit. By securing India’s full participation in the SCO, the Moscow-Beijing-New Delhi Axis will control, 40% of the world’s population, 20% of the world’s economy, and 50% of the world’s nuclear warheads.
Geopolitical analysts frequently refer to the these three countries and neo-communist Brazil as the “BRIC” group. This term was coined in a 2003 report published by the Goldman Sachs investment bank to refer to the rapid economic development of these countries. Goldman Sachs predicted in 2006: “Over the next 50 years, Brazil, Russia, India and China–the BRICs economies– could become a much larger force in the world economy. We map out GDP growth, income per capita and currency movements in the BRICs economies until 2050.”
While more than likely oblivious to Moscow’s long-range strategic deception, this bastion of Western capitalism unwittingly created a term that aptly encompasses a key, latter-day component of the Communist Bloc. International communism’s “one clenched fist” of which Golitsyn warned in his first book New Lies for Old (1984) is almost ready to strike the West.
This is not the first time that the foreign ministers of Russia, China, and India have held trilateral discussions. A 2002 article in The Hindu concluded: “It would appear that Russia, China and India, by cooperating with each other, are sending a subtle message to the world’s only superpower — that they, too, count for something in international affairs”.